Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5304 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

OH 5304 · DFW → MOB

departs 9:22 AM CT · arrives 11:16 AM CT

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 52h before departure

Arrive at MOB more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MOB?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.7 in of rain forecast at MOB that day

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ 9am departures from DFW are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into MOB at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.05 in

MOB (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility2 mi Precip2.70 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5304 · DFW → MOB

Odds over time

How late will it get to MOB?