OH 5340 · PHL → BNA

departs 5:53 PM ET · arrives 7:15 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

60% chance · ±0 pts +18 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi forecast at PHL that day

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.26 in

BNA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5340 · PHL → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?