Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5358 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

OH 5358 · DFW → MGM

departs 9:47 PM CT · arrives 11:45 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 69h before departure

Arrive at MGM more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MGM?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.9 in of rain forecast at MGM that day

↑ 9pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↓ MGM usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.08 in

MGM (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.86 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5358 · DFW → MGM

Odds over time

How late will it get to MGM?