OH 5367 · PHL → DTW

departs 5:04 PM ET · arrives 6:53 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at PHL that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.12 in

DTW (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5367 · PHL → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?