OH 5375 · PHL → ORF

departs 7:39 PM ET · arrives 8:56 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORF?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at PHL that day

↑ 7pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.15 in

ORF (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.37 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5375 · PHL → ORF

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORF?