Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5469 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

OH 5469 · PHL → PNS

departs 9:04 AM ET · arrives 10:53 AM CT

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 39h before departure

Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±3 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PNS?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 2.9 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PNS that day

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at PHL that day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.39 in

PNS (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip2.91 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5469 · PHL → PNS

Odds over time

How late will it get to PNS?