Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5469 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow

OH 5469 · PNS → PHL

departs 11:23 AM CT · arrives 2:56 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 29h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±2 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 3.8 in of rain forecast at PNS that day

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at PHL that day

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↓ PNS usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PNS (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip3.80 in

PHL (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5469 · PNS → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?