tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5471 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

OH 5471 · MSN → PHL

departs 1:17 PM CT · arrives 4:33 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 62h before departure
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
25% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 5.7d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

  1. On time or early
    73%
  2. 15–30 min late
    6%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.