Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5545 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

OH 5545 · PHL → OMA

departs 6:07 PM ET · arrives 8:23 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 62h before departure

Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OMA?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at PHL that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from PHL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OMA

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.23 in

OMA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5545 · PHL → OMA

Odds over time

How late will it get to OMA?