Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5583 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow

OH 5583 · PHL → CVG

departs 7:40 PM ET · arrives 9:53 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 37h before departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CVG?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at PHL that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 7pm departures from PHL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.10 in

CVG (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5583 · PHL → CVG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CVG?