Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5590 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow

OH 5590 · PHL → RDU

departs 5:30 PM ET · arrives 7:11 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 44h before departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

63% chance · ±3 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RDU?

On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
23%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at PHL that day

↑ 5pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at RDU that day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.23 in

RDU (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.78 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5590 · PHL → RDU

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDU?