OH 5608 · PVD → PHL

departs 10:51 AM ET · arrives 12:23 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at PHL that day

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at PVD that day

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

PVD (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

PHL (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5608 · PVD → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?