Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 563 LANDED 7:40 PM ET, ~2 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Yesterday

OH 563 · YQB → PHL

took off 6:10 PM EDT · landed 7:40 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

54% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at PHL that day

↑ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Other factors

↓ 6pm departures from YQB are usually not late

Weather at each end

YQB (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

PHL (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.18 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 563 · YQB → PHL

Odds over time