OH 5669 · DFW → MOB

departs 9:12 AM CT · arrives 11:03 AM CT

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at MOB more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MOB?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 2.8 in of rain forecast at MOB that day

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ 9am departures from DFW are often late

↓ MOB usually runs smoothly

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.06 in

MOB (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip2.81 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5669 · DFW → MOB

Odds over time

How late will it get to MOB?