Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3225
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
OO 3225 · SEA → TUS
departs 5:45 PM PT · arrives 9:05 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 18%
Fri 10/9 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±0 pts
+17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +24 pts in 24h
+24 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at TUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to TUS?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from SEA are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↓
This flight has been late 17% of the time recently
↓
Gusts to 36 kt forecast at TUS that day
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.25 mi Precip none
TUS (destination)
Gusts 36 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.