Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3400
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
OO 3400 · BUR → STS
departs 9:38 AM PT · arrives 11:25 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at STS more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at STS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to STS?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
BUR is prone to delays
↑
STS is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0 mi forecast at STS that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR
↓
9am departures from BUR are usually not late
Weather at each end
BUR (origin)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
STS (destination)
Gusts 8 kt
Ceiling 400 ft
Visibility 0.2 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.