Schedule: a typical Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3636 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

OO 3636 · BUF → DTW

departs 12:03 PM ET · arrives 1:19 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 70h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±2 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUF

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

Weather at each end

BUF (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3636 · BUF → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?