OO 3921 · ATL → AGS

took off 2:27 PM ET · landed 3:04 PM ET (scheduled 2:14 PM ET → 3:21 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at AGS more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to AGS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ATL that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.2 in of rain forecast at AGS that day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.12 in

AGS (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3921 · ATL → AGS

Odds over time

How late did it get to AGS?