OO 4020 · YVR → SEA

departs 11:10 AM PDT · arrives 12:11 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at YVR

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

YVR (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

SEA (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4020 · YVR → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?