Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4027
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
OO 4027 · AUS → IND
departs 2:03 PM CT · arrives 5:47 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 15%
Thu 10/8 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±1 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at IND more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IND?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from AUS are often late
↑
Arrivals into IND at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IND
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
IND (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.