Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4146
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
OO 4146 · BNA → AUS
departs 7:05 AM CT · arrives 9:31 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 11%
Tue 10/6 8%
Wed 10/7 7%
Thu 10/8 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±6 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at AUS that day
↑
AUS is prone to delays
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.25 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.22 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.