OO 4252 · APN → DTW

departs 5:50 PM ET · arrives 7:01 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late

↓ 5pm departures from APN are usually not late

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

APN (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling2,900 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.16 in

DTW (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4252 · APN → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?