OO 448 · IAH → PIB

departs 12:47 PM CT · arrives 2:17 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at PIB more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PIB?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at PIB that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ 12pm departures from IAH are often late

↓ PIB usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

PIB (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.79 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 448 · IAH → PIB

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIB?