OO 4642 · IAH → SGF

departs 12:40 PM CT · arrives 2:39 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SGF?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at IAH that day

↑ 12pm departures from IAH are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SGF

↓ Arrivals into SGF at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

SGF (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4642 · IAH → SGF

Odds over time

How late will it get to SGF?