Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4644
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
OO 4644 · CRW → ORD
departs 5:57 PM ET · arrives 7:01 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 63h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Sat 10/3 27%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 33%
Tue 10/6 36%
Wed 10/7 31%
Thu 10/8 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed – in 24h
–
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave CRW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed – in 24h
–
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 51% of the time recently
↑
5pm departures from CRW are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
CRW is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
CRW (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 0.09 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.