OO 4654 · BZN → DEN

departs 10:45 AM MT · arrives 12:55 PM MT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BZN

↓ BZN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BZN (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

DEN (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4654 · BZN → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?