OO 4680 · CHA → ORD

departs 10:19 AM ET · arrives 11:21 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at CHA that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

CHA (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.09 in

ORD (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4680 · CHA → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?