Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4702
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
OO 4702 · BFL → DEN
departs 12:40 PM PT · arrives 4:16 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 8:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Sat 10/3 15%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave BFL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
Gusts to 26 kt forecast at DEN that day
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
BFL (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DEN (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.