OO 4733 · DEN → STL

departs 8:30 PM MT · arrives 11:45 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at DEN that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

STL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4733 · DEN → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?