OO 4740 · MKE → ORD

departs 12:06 PM CT · arrives 1:05 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

45% chance · ±0 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
32%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MKE

Weather at each end

MKE (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

ORD (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4740 · MKE → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?