OO 4928 · DSM → ORD

departs 8:09 PM CT · arrives 9:38 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DSM

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

DSM (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4928 · DSM → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?