Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5047
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
OO 5047 · CHA → IAH
departs 4:42 PM ET · arrives 6:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 40%
Sat 10/3 44%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
49%
chance · ±5 pts
−11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
49%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Leave CHA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at CHA that day
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at IAH that day
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
CHA is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
CHA (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.86 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.