OO 5049 · PIB → IAH

departs 10:44 AM CT · arrives 12:18 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at PIB that day

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at IAH that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are usually not late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PIB (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.45 in

IAH (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5049 · PIB → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?