Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5088
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
OO 5088 · IAH → MGM
departs 10:45 AM CT · arrives 12:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 21%
Wed 10/7 12%
Thu 10/8 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at MGM more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±2 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MGM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at MGM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MGM?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.0 in of rain forecast at MGM that day
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at IAH that day
↓
MGM usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
MGM (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 2.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.