Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5129
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
OO 5129 · IAH → MGM
departs 2:20 PM CT · arrives 4:16 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 3:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 50%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 22%
Fri 10/9 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at MGM more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±2 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MGM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at MGM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MGM?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at MGM that day
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at IAH that day
↑
This flight has been late 23% of the time recently
↓
MGM usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.06 in
MGM (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.77 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.