OO 5131 · AEX → IAH

departs 9:41 AM CT · arrives 10:52 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at IAH that day

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at AEX that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AEX (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.16 in

IAH (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5131 · AEX → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?