Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5282
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
OO 5282 · IAH → ICT
departs 12:10 PM CT · arrives 2:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±4 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at ICT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ICT?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at IAH that day
↑
ICT is prone to delays
↑
IAH is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ICT
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
ICT (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.