OO 5456 · SFO → EUG

departs 9:09 AM PT · arrives 11:03 AM PT

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at EUG more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to EUG?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at EUG that day

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Arrivals into EUG at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

EUG (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5456 · SFO → EUG

Odds over time

How late will it get to EUG?