Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5536 IN THE AIR (OFF 8:11 AM CT, ETA 10:34 AM CT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

OO 5536 · MKE → IAH

took off 8:11 AM CT · expected to land 10:34 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at IAH that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ IAH is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MKE

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

MKE (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

IAH (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5536 · MKE → IAH

Odds over time