OO 5579 · SFO → SEA

departs 10:45 PM PT · arrives 1:15 AM PT

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

49% chance · ±0 pts +26 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ 10pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5579 · SFO → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?