Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5597
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
OO 5597 · IAH → XNA
departs 6:16 PM CT · arrives 8:04 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 18%
Wed 10/7 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at XNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to XNA?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at IAH that day
↑
6pm departures from IAH are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at XNA that day
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
XNA (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.