Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5658
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
OO 5658 · SAT → IAH
departs 7:20 PM CT · arrives 8:33 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±7 pts
−12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at IAH that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late
↓
SAT usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SAT (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.