OO 5751 · MOB → IAH

departs 9:28 AM CT · arrives 11:11 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at MOB that day

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at IAH that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Other factors

↓ 9am departures from MOB are usually not late

Weather at each end

MOB (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.84 in

IAH (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5751 · MOB → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?