Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5915
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
OO 5915 · MBS → ORD
departs 1:58 PM ET · arrives 2:29 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 14%
Fri 10/9 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.7d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave MBS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MBS
Weather at each end
MBS (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 8,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.22 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.