OO 5985 · PHX → SFO

took off 3:42 PM MT · expected to land 5:20 PM PT (scheduled 3:36 PM MT → 6:09 PM PT)

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SFO?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5985 · PHX → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?