OO 6040 · DSM → ORD

departs 1:23 PM CT · arrives 2:51 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DSM

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

DSM (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6040 · DSM → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?