UA 1092 · PNS → DEN

took off 2:36 PM CT · expected to land 4:13 PM MT (scheduled 2:13 PM CT → 4:19 PM MT)

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

LIVE

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 1.9 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PNS that day

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ PNS usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

PNS (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip3.79 in

DEN (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1092 · PNS → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?