Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1152 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

UA 1152 · ATL → EWR

departs 7:37 PM ET · arrives 10:04 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 69h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at EWR that day

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at ATL that day

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ UA's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.35 in

EWR (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1152 · ATL → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?