Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1197 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow

UA 1197 · EWR → DEN

departs 5:12 PM ET · arrives 7:45 PM MT

Forecast issued Sat 12:00 AM ET · 41h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±4 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at EWR that day

↓ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at DEN that day

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.13 in

DEN (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1197 · EWR → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?