UA 121 · BCN → EWR

took off 12:41 PM CEST · expected to land 5:11 PM ET (scheduled 11:57 AM CEST → 2:33 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to EWR?

LIVE

On time or early
0%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
100%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Other factors

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BCN (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

EWR (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 121 · BCN → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?